Margaret River Pro Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Betting Preview 2024

Margaret River Pro Odds and Predictions 2024

The 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach concluded with another Action Sports Betting (ASB) favorite coming out on top. Oceanside’s Caitlin Simmers won the event to claim a second victory on her second year on the World Surf League (WSL) Championship Tour (CT). Things didn’t go as expected on the Men’s side, however. Fantasy Surf League pools and expert picks were demolished as rookie Cole Houshmand rose from the bottom-half of CT rankings to ring the bell in Victoria. The CT now heads to Western Australia for the Margaret River Pro, which means that it’s also time for the dreaded midyear cut. For the uninitiated, the midyear cut chops the CT from 36 competitors to 22. Consequently, you can expect those who are hovering around or below the cut-line to step up their game. Will the cream rise to the top, or will there be more upsets? Read the following Margaret River Pro odds and predictions 2024 before making your official picks.

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WSL Betting Odds

Betting Preview for the WSL WCT Western Australia Margaret River Pro Men’s and Women’s Surfing Competition Running from April 11 to 21 2024

Where: Margaret River, Western Australia

When: Waiting period runs from April 11 to 21, 2024

Betting LinesView sportsbooks offering WSL betting odds

Streaming Broadcast: WSL website / WSL YouTube

Sponsors: Western Australia Board of Tourism

Margaret River Pro Men’s Picks


John John Florence: 4/6 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.3

Despite being ranked 3rd on the CT thus far this season, John Joh Florence has been on a steady decline as far as results are concerned. JJF came in 2nd at the Lexus Pipe Pro, which he followed-up with a 5th at Sunset Beach, a 9th in Portugal, and a 17th at Bells Beach. If this pattern persists at Margaret River he will fall out of the Top 5 and risk not making the WSL CT Finals in September. Rest assured that the odds of that happening are slim as John John has put together world class performances at Margaret River. He made the semifinals in 2023, came in 2nd in 2022, and won the event in 2019 and 2017.

Jack Robinson: 4/6 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.6

Jack Robinson is a clear favorite on this list of Margaret River Pro odds and predictions. For one, he won the Hurley Pro at Sunset Beach this year, which is a wave that is similar in style to Margaret River when in the solid six to eight-foot range. Secondly, Robinson is from Margaret River. Lastly, the regular-footer proved that he can get the job done in his hometown after having won the event in 2022.

Ethan Ewing: 5/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.2

Australian Ethan Ewing placed better (5th) at the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach than the other two favorites on this list, before getting trounced by Cole Houshmand in a somewhat controversial heat. He is coming into Western Australia with a deep-seeded desire to take the top CT ranking away from Griffin Colapinto. Ewing is a good bet to do so, as his ability to line up a smooth yet fast turn along Margaret River’s solid face is second to none. Ethan’s best result in Victoria is a 3rd which he received in 2022 after losing to countryman Jack Robinson.


Griffin Colapinto: 10/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.1

If San Clemente’s Griffin Colapinto wasn’t going up against three of the best to surf Margaret River (above) he would be the favorite to win the midyear event. Instead, we have him listed as the top sleeper pick. Griffin’s best result at Margaret River is a second that he received last year after losing to Gabriel Medina. One thing that works in Colapinto’s favor for this event is that less-than-ideal conditions won’t derail his potential to win. If Margaret River is pumping, Florence, Robinson, and Ewing will be unstoppable until meeting one another. However, if solid six to eight-foot swell does not arrive to deliver that power that our three favorites froth over, their performances will suffer. Griffin on the other hand, is more adaptable and maintains his motivation even when conditions don’t meet or exceed expectations. Monitor the forecast as the event date unfolds and make your wagers accordingly.

Crosby Colapinto: 15/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.9

We’re unapologetically pairing up Colapintos in making our sleeper picks for this event. Griffin’s brother Crosby is hungry for a strong result, even though at 9th on the CT he’s probably safe from the midyear cut. Crosby is not just fired up by witnessing his older sibling being a mainstay on the CT Top 5, he’s motivated after watching his good friend Cole Housemand claim a CT win at Bells Beach. Before WSL fans can claim that a San Clemente Squall has replaced the Brazilian Storm, there needs to be one more more T-street standout on the list of CT victors. If Crosby takes an event this season. their usurping of Brazil will be complete. This is enough to light a fire under Crosby at Margaret River. With longer odds to win a Crosby Colapinto wager could net bettors a sweet payday.


Caio Ibelli: 20/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.29

Like Jadsen Andre before him, Caio Ibelli is a Brazilian who simply won’t go away. However, he’s in danger of doing so with his 29th ranking on the CT. A strong result at Margaret River is critical to his campaign to make it through the midyear cut, which is the sort of occasion that Caio often rises to. The odds of him winning the event are quite slim, but we suspect that he’ll at least make the quarterfinals and subsequently the top 22.


John John Florence gets his first win of the 2024 CT season by hoisting the wine barrel at the Margaret River Pro.

Margaret River Pro Women’s Picks


Molly Picklum: 4/6 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.3

After a strong start to the season – including a win at Sunset Beach – Australian Molly Picklum stumbled with ninth place finishes in the last two events. Granted, the waves were poor-to-mediocre in Portugal and at Bells Beach, which speaks to what makes Picklum rise (or otherwise) to the competitive occasion. With the CT heading back to a wave of consequence, we can expect Molly to shine once more. She competed at the Margaret River Pro in 2023 and in 2022, earning a 5th place finish at each. She’s an even bigger and better charger than she was in those two years prior, which makes her the favorite to win the event this time around.

Caroline Marks: 8/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.4

We’re not big fans of Caroline Marks’ style of surfing (is anyone?) but it’s hard to argue against the effectiveness of her boxy technique at Margaret River, especially if the event takes place at the Box. The Box is a fast right-hand reef break located 200 meters from the main break at Margaret River. The current CT World Champion came in 5th at the event in 2019, 9th in 2021, missed the event in 2022 due to injury, and enjoyed her best result in 2023 with a 3rd after losing to Tyler Wright.


Brisa Hennessy: 10/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.6

Like with Caroline Marks, Brisa Hennessy’s style is cringeworthy, but her brute strength is a major asset at a powerful Margaret River. The regular-footed Costa Rican’s best result in Victoria is a 5th which she received in both 2022 and 2019. We expect even better from her this time around as she has attained 3rd place finishes in all of the events she has competed at in 2024 (she missed Portugal due to injury).

Bettylou Sakura Johnson: 15/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.5

Bettylou Sakura Johnson has matured with each event on the CT. She is now due for her first win on the Tour, especially with Carissa Moore being retired (Moore knocked Johnson out of contest multiple times). Can the tall and lean Hawaiian manage Margaret River when it’s operating at full capacity? Her best result in Western Australia is a 9th, but as a consistent performer at an equally heavy Sunset Beach (her home break) she has proven that she has what it takes.


Gabriela Bryan: 20/1 Odds

WCT Ranking: No.10

The blonde Hawaiian with a perpetual smile is also due for her first victory on the WSL Championship Tour. The Margaret River Pro is where that magic can happen for Gabriela Bryan. The 21 year old regular-footer made the finals at the event in 2022 when she lost to Isabella Nichols. Bryan is now ranked ahead of Nichols (No.13) but sits on the cusp of the midyear cutline for the Women’s division. She is as motivated as anyone to win the Margaret River Pro, and has the skillset to make a long shot bettor’s dream come true.


Caroline Marks wins the Women’s Division of the 2024 Margaret River Pro.

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